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Red88
945510.8
925127.0
663741.9
Blue120
262039.0
81542.3
605715.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510920408010012014016088120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
10Coral scored#20
35Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
63Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
88Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#22
41.90.9
31.632.5
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
blue by 0.4
815
#3
42.31.1
33.834.9
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
9251
#10
27.00.9
20.521.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
blue by 12.0
2620
#16
39.01.1
41.542.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
Third
9455
#35
10.80.9
8.59.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 4.6
6057
#18
15.41.1
14.015.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned