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Red97
262039.0
71917.1
608143.0
Blue116
152816.6
24550.2
691426.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048305015020097116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
60Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
97Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#29
43.00.1
33.933.7
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
blue by 7.2
245
#1
50.21.4
38.439.8
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
Second
2620
#16
39.00.1
45.745.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
red by 12.9
6914
#19
26.01.4
19.821.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5
Third
7191
#36
7.10.1
3.43.2
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 9.5
1528
#30
16.62.4
12.114.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned