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Red107
663741.9
564132.5
836219.5
Blue90
71917.1
12330.2
718832.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9360020408012014016010790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
29Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
64Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points0
107Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#22
41.91.1
34.735.8
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
red by 9.0
7188
#39
32.93.3
24.027.4
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
5641
#17
32.51.1
29.130.2
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
red by 2.2
123
#20
30.22.3
25.828.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
Third
8362
#21
19.51.5
14.515.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
red by 12.4
7191
#36
7.12.3
5.57.8
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed