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Red172
377052.1
171137.0
2781.1
Blue170
557753.0
24751.9
3385.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162182100150200250172170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
99Total teleop113
Reef
12L4#12
7L3#8
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#39
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
172Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
81.10.6
70.971.6
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
blue by 4.1
33
#7
85.20.6
74.674.0
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
Second
3770
#26
52.10.6
48.549.1
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
blue by 0.9
5577
#28
53.00.6
46.145.5
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
Third
1711
#38
37.00.6
35.035.7
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
blue by 14.9
247
#39
51.90.6
49.248.6
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed