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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15312950100200176131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+63Teleop
+51Endgame
+45Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +63
26Coral scored#13
92Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
132Total teleop69
Reef
14L4#7
7L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points6
176Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#19
61.82.4
52.655.1
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
red by 13.6
5509
#14
48.20.3
41.842.2
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
Second
3770
#26
52.12.4
48.150.6
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
red by 15.1
1711
#38
37.00.3
41.942.3
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
Third
818
#37
41.32.4
38.641.0
Auto7.4
Teleop32.3
End1.6
red by 5.1
8280
#36
36.10.3
36.036.4
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned