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Qual 572025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red171
360340.8
612037.6
21757.9
Blue194
716670.7
977643.4
657048.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135174100150200250171194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+35
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points32
30Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +27
23Coral scored#25
83Coral points90
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
105Total teleop132
Reef
9L4#11
11L3#7
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#40
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
171Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
57.92.5
50.2→52.7
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
blue by 12.9
7166
#5
70.72.1
66.8→68.9
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Second
3603
#33
40.82.5
35.7→38.2
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
blue by 7.6
6570
#21
48.42.1
46.3→48.4
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
Third
6120
#30
37.62.5
36.8→39.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
blue by 5.8
9776
#23
43.42.1
38.1→40.2
Auto6.9
Teleop34.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned