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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191221100150250300350193203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+30
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
7Coral scored#9
33Coral points44
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +19
31Coral scored#29
112Coral points103
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
6Processor points18
16Net points32
22Algae points50
134Total teleop153
Reef
18L4#12
6L3#11
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#49
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
193Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.3
63.063.3
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
blue by 15.7
4391
#11
79.10.0
77.977.8
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
3668
#19
57.80.3
57.457.8
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
blue by 12.9
70.70.0
69.569.5
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Third
7174
#12
52.30.3
51.952.3
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
red by 0.5
3322
#14
51.80.0
50.650.6
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7