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Red134
654855.7
357262.7
102557.2
Blue108
46957.7
722043.6
608842.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158129050100200250300134108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave3
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
6Processor points12
20Net points32
26Algae points44
74Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points6
134Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#17
62.71.4
61.360.0
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
red by 4.9
469
#22
57.71.7
49.748.0
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
Second
1025
#14
57.21.4
51.149.7
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
red by 13.6
7220
#31
43.61.7
43.141.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End4.2
Third
55.71.4
41.940.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
red by 12.9
6088
#32
42.81.7
35.433.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed