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Red169
423760.9
360462.2
170172.0
Blue169
925525.1
661564.7
22666.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187141100200250169169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#21
51Coral points77
3Processor algae#4
9Net algae#6
18Processor points24
36Net points24
54Algae points48
105Total teleop125
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#7
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
169Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.0
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
red by 5.9
226
#2
66.1
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
Second
3604
#12
62.2
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
blue by 2.5
6615
#15
64.7
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
Third
4237
#13
60.9
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
red by 35.8
9255
#37
25.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned