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Red153
566052.0
663747.7
515029.5
Blue154
5150.4
22666.1
519348.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491580100200300400500153154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#23
73Coral points84
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
99Total teleop104
Reef
6L4#11
9L3#8
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
153Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#17
52.00.8
54.655.4
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
blue by 14.2
226
#2
66.10.0
56.956.9
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
Second
6637
#35
47.70.8
47.548.3
Auto13.4
Teleop32.0
End2.3
blue by 2.7
51
#14
50.40.0
46.546.5
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
Third
5150
#32
29.50.8
28.229.0
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
blue by 19.1
5193
#29
48.60.0
39.639.6
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned