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Red214
22666.1
86273.0
24555.4
Blue174
1050551.3
506651.2
1063347.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208149100250300214174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+16Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
25Coral scored#24
91Coral points86
5Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
30Processor points24
20Net points32
50Algae points56
141Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#13
12L3#8
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#41
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
214Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
73.00.5
72.773.2
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
red by 21.7
51.30.7
48.248.9
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
Second
226
#2
66.10.5
60.461.0
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
red by 14.9
5066
#24
51.20.7
47.748.4
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
Third
245
#21
55.40.5
53.754.3
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
red by 7.6
47.80.7
46.747.4
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed