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Red167
170179.9
99937.7
828044.1
Blue81
97518.8
557725.6
661623.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14950010020025030016781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+62Teleop
+80Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
3Leave0
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points15
44Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
93Total teleop60
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#6
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#19
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points0
167Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.7
79.279.9
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
red by 54.3
25.60.6
25.125.6
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
Second
44.10.7
43.444.1
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 20.8
23.30.6
22.823.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Third
9993
Unranked
7.71.2
6.57.7
Auto0.3
Teleop6.6
End0.4
blue by 1.1
9751
#18
8.80.6
8.28.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0