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Red67
569531.8
817933.6
519718.6
Blue105
440543.2
765635.0
553047.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5511410015067105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
37Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
67Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#21
33.60.1
29.229.1
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
blue by 14.0
5530
#11
47.60.6
42.241.6
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
Second
31.80.1
20.120.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
blue by 11.4
43.20.6
37.436.9
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
Third
5197
#16
18.60.1
10.710.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
blue by 16.4
35.00.6
24.724.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned