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Red94
222438.4
361910.1
835228.9
Blue108
296047.8
569531.8
719643.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57105015094108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
79Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
94Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#12
38.42.3
28.130.5
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
blue by 9.4
47.81.1
39.040.2
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
Second
8352
#14
28.92.3
22.624.9
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
blue by 14.2
43.11.1
29.230.4
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Third
3619
#33
10.12.3
8.310.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 21.7
31.81.1
22.823.9
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned