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Red84
475816.2
661560.9
60964.5
Blue107
557746.1
771622.2
925226.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7986020030040084107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
54Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points26
84Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.91.0
55.556.5
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
red by 14.9
46.10.4
37.738.1
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
Second
4758
#26
16.21.0
10.111.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 10.4
9252
#27
26.60.4
19.319.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
Third
6096
#39
4.51.0
3.54.5
Auto3.3
Teleop0.6
End0.5
blue by 17.7
7716
#32
22.20.4
17.517.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed