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Red53
60964.5
719643.1
361910.1
Blue116
661560.9
363226.4
836227.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42117010015020053116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+63
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +66
8Coral scored#20
27Coral points73
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
35Total teleop101
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
53Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.4
34.134.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
blue by 17.8
60.91.3
53.855.1
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
Second
3619
#33
10.10.4
9.09.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 17.3
8362
#19
27.41.3
23.124.4
Auto7.4
Teleop17.5
End2.5
Third
6096
#39
4.50.4
3.33.8
Auto3.3
Teleop0.6
End0.5
blue by 21.9
3632
#31
26.41.3
20.121.3
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed