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Red108
661621.7
553047.6
20487.3
Blue78
475816.2
519718.6
765635.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76590204010012014010878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
0Endgame0
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
60Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
30Foul points0
108Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
47.60.1
40.940.9
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
red by 12.6
35.01.0
31.432.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
Second
6616
#17
21.70.1
19.219.3
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0
red by 3.1
5197
#16
18.61.0
11.312.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Third
2048
#13
7.30.1
7.87.9
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 8.9
4758
#26
16.21.0
12.413.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned