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Red127
222438.4
485124.5
719643.1
Blue111
771622.2
553047.6
309626.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112926080100120140160127111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+2Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
6Processor points18
20Net points20
26Algae points38
98Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
127Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.9
39.541.4
Auto7.4
Teleop30.3
End5.5
blue by 4.5
5530
#11
47.61.7
43.445.1
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
Second
2224
#12
38.41.9
33.835.7
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
red by 12.3
3096
#25
26.11.7
21.122.9
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Third
4851
#35
24.51.9
25.227.1
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End2.5
red by 2.3
7716
#32
22.21.7
20.822.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed