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Red65
468030.6
47589.2
43905.3
Blue84
609922.6
575616.3
81532.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4159020801001201406584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
3Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +14
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
58Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
65Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#21
30.60.6
20.721.3
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
blue by 1.7
815
#12
32.42.0
19.121.1
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
Second
4758
#40
9.20.9
7.48.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 13.4
22.62.0
16.218.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End1.9
Third
4390
#33
5.30.9
8.29.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 10.9
5756
#22
16.32.0
13.115.0
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed