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Red30
71455.1
12320.0
71914.7
Blue23
54789.2
575616.3
485119.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001201403023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
16Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points0
30Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#2
20.03.9
25.521.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End1.7
red by 0.3
4851
#18
19.73.4
18.515.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Second
7145
#37
5.13.9
16.913.0
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 11.2
5756
#22
16.33.4
17.814.4
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Third
7191
#24DQ
4.73.9
16.312.4
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 4.5
5478
#38
9.23.4
17.013.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed