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Red44
25916.6
60966.2
12320.0
Blue43
363214.5
965112.5
590126.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32470204060801004443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
2Coral scored#5
7Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
7Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
24Foul points0
44Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#2
20.01.5
16.615.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 6.5
5901
#11
26.60.1
23.223.3
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
Second
2591
#39
6.61.6
8.67.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 7.9
3632
#31
14.50.1
11.611.8
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Third
6096
#36
6.21.6
9.37.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 6.3
9651
#16
12.50.1
7.07.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed