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Red110
43905.3
819323.9
575616.3
Blue36
20484.9
36196.7
961820.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55360208010011036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+74Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#5
25Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
35Total teleop23
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
60Foul points0
110Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.1
24.224.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 3.8
9618
#25
20.10.0
19.319.3
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
Second
5756
#22
16.30.1
14.014.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
red by 9.6
3619
#32
6.70.0
5.25.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Third
4390
#33
5.30.1
4.44.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
red by 0.5
2048
#30
4.90.0
6.16.1
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed