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Red53
691413.2
602920.9
961820.1
Blue71
653218.3
575616.3
786518.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645502040801001201405371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
38Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
53Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.1
22.221.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End8.1
red by 2.3
7865
#17
18.61.1
17.718.8
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
9618
#25
20.11.1
20.319.2
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
red by 1.8
18.31.2
17.118.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Third
6914
#15
13.21.1
13.512.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 3.0
5756
#22
16.31.2
15.116.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned