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Red82
439164.9
1050517.9
655812.9
Blue100
524720.7
85730.2
258634.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888840608010012014082100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
55Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
82Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.8
40.741.5
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 30.7
34.12.3
27.830.2
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
Second
17.932.7
51.318.6
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 12.3
857
#2
30.22.3
33.035.3
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
Third
6558
#34
12.90.8
16.517.3
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 7.9
5247
#25
20.72.3
18.220.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned