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Red72
968210.2
972216.6
1058943.9
Blue63
607915.0
977325.7
1050517.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7656020401001201407263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
59Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
72Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.4
40.440.8
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 18.2
9773
#14
25.70.3
23.023.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Second
9722
#28
16.60.5
16.416.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 1.4
17.90.4
15.816.1
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Third
9682
#22
10.20.5
9.49.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 4.9
6079
#26
15.00.4
13.914.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed