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Red93
973315.5
608825.2
776827.5
Blue68
132220.8
656924.5
611220.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647920401001201409368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
77Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
93Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.52.3
22.825.0
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
red by 3.0
6569
#33
24.50.2
25.225.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
6088
#10
25.22.3
20.923.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
red by 4.4
1322
#29
20.80.2
17.917.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
Third
9733
#18
15.52.3
13.215.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 5.0
6112
#15
20.50.2
21.321.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned