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Red68
553042.2
828025.0
509019.4
Blue88
170150.8
317538.0
657034.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691240501001506888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#12
30Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
48Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
68Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
42.20.4
28.128.5
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
blue by 8.6
50.81.5
41.139.6
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
Second
8280
#20
25.00.4
12.913.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 13.0
38.01.5
40.038.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
Third
5090
#15
19.40.4
23.624.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 15.3
6570
#10
34.71.5
20.519.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed