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Red75
661831.4
468023.4
516712.2
Blue36
952813.7
285116.9
125023.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65602040801007536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+37Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +40
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
58Total teleop18
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
75Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#21
31.41.2
24.025.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
red by 7.9
1250
#25
23.52.2
19.917.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Second
4680
#29
23.41.2
17.618.8
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
red by 6.4
2851
#24
16.92.2
19.917.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Third
5167
#31
12.21.2
13.514.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 1.4
9528
#39
13.72.2
13.010.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed