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Qual 352025 FIM District Ferndale Event presented by Magna
Red31
509019.4
341433.8
65678.2
Blue86
516712.2
776950.1
967916.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767740506070901001103186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#7
7Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
11Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points12
31Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#9
33.84.1
33.8→29.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
blue by 16.3
7769
#7
50.10.7
41.5→42.2
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
Second
5090
#15
19.44.1
25.8→21.7
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End3.4
red by 2.9
9679
#16
16.50.7
11.5→12.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
Third
6567
#33
8.24.1
8.2→4.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 4.0
5167
#31
12.20.7
14.7→15.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned