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Red93
549819.7
170150.8
285116.9
Blue34
564211.4
54677.9
785611.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91330204060801001201401609334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+69Teleop
+65Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +51
12Coral scored#2
43Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
63Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points6
93Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.4
39.941.3
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
red by 39.3
7856
#27
11.51.3
10.49.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Second
5498
#32
19.71.4
15.516.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
red by 8.2
5642
#37
11.41.3
17.516.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
2851
#24
16.91.4
22.824.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4
red by 9.1
5467
#30
7.91.3
8.77.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed