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Red101
657034.7
24739.2
341433.8
Blue58
549819.7
952813.7
30232.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111675010015020010158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+27Teleop
+39Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
66Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points2
101Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#17
39.20.0
35.835.8
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
red by 6.5
302
#14
32.70.6
32.131.4
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Second
6570
#10
34.70.0
29.229.3
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
red by 15.0
5498
#32
19.70.6
16.315.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
Third
33.80.0
26.526.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 20.2
9528
#39
13.70.6
14.313.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed