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Red114
170150.8
543635.0
828025.0
Blue121
656616.7
557734.9
125023.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277150100150200114121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
68Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#11
5L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
114Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.6
51.851.1
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
red by 15.9
34.92.3
31.834.1
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
Second
5436
#13
35.00.6
32.832.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
red by 11.5
1250
#25
23.52.3
20.222.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Third
8280
#20
25.00.6
22.722.1
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 8.2
6566
#19
16.72.3
14.516.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed