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Red184
3360.4
125023.5
353856.8
Blue133
553042.2
468023.4
102536.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610550200250184133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+55Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave9
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points14
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
22Coral scored#17
78Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
110Total teleop86
Reef
15L4#9
9L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +4
20Cage & park24
20Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
184Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.41.0
59.460.5
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
red by 18.2
5530
#11
42.20.7
41.642.3
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
56.81.0
55.956.9
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 19.9
36.90.7
36.337.0
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Third
1250
#25
23.51.0
22.623.6
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 0.2
4680
#29
23.40.7
22.723.5
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8