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Red182
365655.3
608146.9
366845.7
Blue243
233777.1
213783.8
30264.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17326650100150200250300350400182243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +29
3Leave9
4Coral scored#8
19Coral points42
22Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +22
22Coral scored#26
78Coral points92
4Processor algae#6
8Net algae#7
24Processor points36
32Net points28
56Algae points64
134Total teleop156
Reef
10L4#13
6L3#10
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
182Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#32
55.30.3
59.059.3
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End9.2
blue by 28.5
83.80.4
84.784.2
Auto20.8
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
46.90.3
43.543.8
Auto3.5
Teleop35.5
End7.9
blue by 30.1
77.10.4
88.187.7
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
Third
3668
#21
45.70.3
61.561.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.4
End7.0
blue by 18.5
302
#2
64.10.4
62.562.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned