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Red123
317542.7
332242.9
477935.6
Blue110
553111.4
170179.2
749122.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148148110120130140160123110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points44
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
101Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
123Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#20
42.90.4
43.442.9
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End7.6
blue by 36.3
1701
#17
79.21.2
78.877.6
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
Second
3175
#31
42.70.4
36.936.4
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3
red by 20.7
7491
#36
22.01.2
22.621.5
Auto1.6
Teleop17.2
End3.2
Third
4779
#19
35.60.4
37.136.6
Auto6.0
Teleop25.2
End4.3
red by 24.1
5531
#35
11.41.2
12.110.9
Auto1.0
Teleop10.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned