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Red172
170179.2
283257.4
612035.0
Blue175
353957.8
686134.0
722043.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20414150100250300172175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
32Coral scored#20
115Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
143Total teleop113
Reef
12L4#9
12L3#8
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
172Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#17
79.20.1
78.478.5
Auto20.2
Teleop51.0
End8.0
red by 21.4
3539
#27
57.81.0
54.155.1
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
57.40.1
56.656.7
Auto12.1
Teleop39.2
End6.2
red by 14.4
7220
#14
43.11.0
39.540.5
Auto8.4
Teleop29.3
End5.4
Third
6120
#18
35.00.1
34.234.3
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End6.5
red by 1.0
34.01.0
30.431.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4