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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837840601001201406089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
42Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
60Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7784
#14
30.60.9
30.629.6
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
blue by 6.2
36.91.5
33.735.2
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Second
8426
#35
25.31.3
25.223.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
blue by 2.7
6078
#10
28.01.5
23.825.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Third
9242
#28
14.71.3
18.417.1
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
blue by 0.3
6091
#13
15.01.5
14.916.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned