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Red91
526011.3
28835.6
920832.5
Blue68
910629.0
781016.7
781828.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8059020401001201401609168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
62Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
91Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#28
35.60.7
36.337.0
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1
red by 6.6
9106
#34
29.00.1
20.720.7
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
Second
9208
#19
32.50.7
22.923.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
red by 3.9
7818
#13
28.60.1
17.117.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Third
5260
#40
11.30.7
9.09.8
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 5.4
7810
#36
16.70.1
14.314.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed