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Red85
956631.6
1066416.3
969715.5
Blue108
526011.3
21625.6
1064219.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87712040608010012085108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
68Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
85Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9566
#11
31.60.5
31.831.3
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
red by 6.0
216
#21
25.61.6
23.224.8
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0
Second
16.30.5
16.215.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
blue by 3.3
19.51.6
18.920.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
9697
#38
15.50.5
14.614.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 4.2
5260
#40
11.31.6
9.010.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed