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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917205010015020036111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+43
Endgame+57
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
28Total teleop47
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points18
36Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#29
25.14.7
33.028.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
blue by 31.6
56.73.1
28.031.1
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
4998
#22
19.84.7
27.322.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 8.3
28.13.1
17.520.6
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
Third
5260
#39
7.64.7
17.713.0
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 12.6
9207
#25
20.23.1
19.522.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned