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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748502003004005006886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
5Coral scored#13
17Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
27Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points2
68Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#12
40.91.2
29.928.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
red by 3.5
910
#9
37.40.1
34.934.8
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
Second
28.743.7
60.316.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
red by 2.7
7784
#10
26.10.1
19.819.7
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Third
5235
#37
12.61.2
17.816.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 5.3
7195
#16
17.90.1
18.618.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed