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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3875020601001202123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
1Coral scored#3
2Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
2Total teleop10
Reef
0L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
21Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6631
#28
15.12.6
17.614.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 22.3
910
#9
37.44.6
37.232.6
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
Second
8385
#20
12.62.6
11.89.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
red by 0.3
4994
#31
12.34.6
13.79.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Third
5260
#39
7.62.6
9.26.6
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 4.2
11.84.6
13.18.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed