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Red227
561474.2
600258.2
545444.3
Blue190
415277.0
341468.6
580023.0
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17318150100150200250300350227190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
9Coral scored#10
44Coral points51
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +42
31Coral scored#25
111Coral points89
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
18Processor points18
36Net points16
54Algae points34
165Total teleop123
Reef
9L4#10
16L3#10
7L2#10
8L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points0
227Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#17
74.24.0
68.572.4
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
blue by 2.8
4152
#52
77.01.4
71.973.3
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
Second
6002
#46
58.24.0
48.352.3
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
blue by 10.4
3414
#40
68.61.4
67.568.9
Auto15.0
Teleop44.8
End8.8
Third
5454
#50
44.34.0
40.444.3
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 21.3
5800
#72
23.01.4
21.723.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned