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Qual 1152025 Milstein Division
Red129
5865.5
1033718.8
224049.5
Blue193
45657.9
589583.9
566549.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15122350100200250300129193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave6
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points35
26Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +37
14Coral scored#26
51Coral points92
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
89Total teleop126
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#11
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
129Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#45
65.51.3
66.8→65.5
Auto11.7
Teleop44.1
End9.7
blue by 18.4
5895
#9
83.90.7
83.6→82.9
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
Second
2240
#61
49.51.3
50.8→49.5
Auto10.1
Teleop38.7
End0.7
blue by 8.5
456
#13
57.90.7
58.7→57.9
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End7.4
Third
10337
#74
18.81.3
20.1→18.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 31.0
5665
#34
49.70.7
50.5→49.7
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned