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Red150
314260.5
680629.1
374848.8
Blue284
839350.6
600258.2
25493.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141219100200250300350150284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+43
Teleop+92
Endgame+104
Fouls+134
AutonomousBlue +43
3Leave3
3Coral scored#12
17Coral points60
20Total auto63
TeleoperatedBlue +49
19Coral scored#30
68Coral points107
1Processor algae#4
8Net algae#6
6Processor points24
32Net points24
38Algae points48
106Total teleop155
Reef
10L4#16
6L3#14
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#7
31Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +134
0Foul points30
150Total score284

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#36
60.50.5
59.960.5
Auto13.9
Teleop35.7
End10.8
blue by 32.5
254
#4
93.03.7
92.296.0
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
Second
3748
#55
48.80.5
48.248.8
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End8.4
blue by 9.5
6002
#46
58.23.7
52.356.0
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
Third
6806
#75
29.10.5
28.529.1
Auto3.0
Teleop23.9
End2.2
blue by 21.6
8393
#35
50.63.7
47.651.4
Auto9.9
Teleop35.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned