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Red152
1001524.3
415277.0
331068.0
Blue246
87667.7
174161.1
25493.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161229100150200250300152246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+37
Teleop+94
Endgame+94
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +37
9Leave6
5Coral scored#13
24Coral points64
33Total auto70
TeleoperatedBlue +57
18Coral scored#24
63Coral points88
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#11
18Processor points18
12Net points44
30Algae points62
93Total teleop150
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#13
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points0
152Total score246

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#52
77.01.0
69.768.7
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
blue by 16.0
254
#4
93.01.5
92.093.5
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
Second
3310
#47
68.01.0
62.761.7
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
red by 0.3
876
#23
67.71.5
60.962.4
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
Third
24.31.0
23.522.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.2
End3.0
blue by 36.8
1741
#24
61.11.5
59.761.2
Auto20.3
Teleop36.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned