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Red218
95770.8
359839.4
118105.8
Blue191
670234.8
146865.3
715351.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23515750100200250300218191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave6
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points17
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
32Coral scored#22
114Coral points80
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#11
12Processor points18
12Net points44
24Algae points62
138Total teleop142
Reef
14L4#11
14L3#8
6L2#3
7L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
218Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.80.4
108.5108.1
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 40.5
1468
#62
65.31.9
62.063.9
Auto12.3
Teleop46.2
End6.7
Second
957
#16
70.80.4
65.865.4
Auto18.9
Teleop40.8
End11.1
red by 19.6
7153
#48
51.31.9
51.153.0
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End7.3
Third
3598
#58
39.40.4
35.735.3
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End8.3
red by 4.5
6702
#67
34.81.9
35.537.4
Auto5.5
Teleop27.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned