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Red121
146865.3
1001524.3
298019.5
Blue176
181630.6
341468.6
102359.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104188050150250300121176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
9Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
88Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#6
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
8Foul points6
121Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#62
65.30.0
62.462.5
Auto12.3
Teleop46.2
End6.7
blue by 3.3
3414
#40
68.60.2
58.158.3
Auto15.0
Teleop44.8
End8.8
Second
24.30.0
20.820.9
Auto7.1
Teleop14.2
End3.0
blue by 34.8
1023
#19
59.10.2
57.357.4
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End5.4
Third
2980
#69
19.50.0
17.917.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.7
blue by 11.1
1816
#64
30.60.2
40.540.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned