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Red237
594097.3
131868.6
25493.0
Blue240
600258.2
415277.0
91069.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288213100150200250350237240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
10Coral scored#11
51Coral points56
57Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +15
35Coral scored#27
126Coral points97
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
154Total teleop139
Reef
17L4#16
11L3#10
10L2#8
7L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
237Total score240

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.30.6
100.299.6
Auto22.8
Teleop64.0
End10.5
red by 20.3
4152
#52
77.00.9
75.576.4
Auto23.1
Teleop43.8
End10.1
Second
254
#4
93.00.6
96.095.3
Auto23.8
Teleop60.0
End9.3
red by 23.8
910
#5
69.20.9
67.868.7
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
Third
1318
#38
68.60.6
69.268.6
Auto14.6
Teleop47.9
End6.0
red by 10.4
6002
#46
58.20.9
56.757.6
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9