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Red84
148143.1
560327.1
1018118.3
Blue98
22638.9
779029.5
956812.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77672040601001208498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
69Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
84Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.9
31.133.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
red by 4.2
226
#1
38.94.1
27.932.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Second
5603
#32
27.11.9
24.326.2
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5
blue by 2.4
7790
#15
29.54.1
23.527.6
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Third
18.31.9
11.713.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End1.5
red by 5.8
9568
#30
12.54.1
10.014.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned